Monday 1 October 2012

Results - Hornsby Council Elections, 2012


Hornsby Council Elections, 2012

Final Results for Hornsby

Mayor - Steve Russell (Liberal)
A Ward
- Nathan Tilbury (Liberal)
- Mick Gallagher (Independent)
- Anthony Anisse (Liberal)
B Ward
- Robert Browne (Liberal)
- Nick Berman (Independent)
- Gurdeep Singh (Liberal)

C Ward
- Michael Hutchence (Liberal)
- Jerome Cox (Liberal)
- Bernadette Azizi (Independent)

How Close did we get

Final Count before elimination

A ward

reported turnout 84.84%
Informal vote 13.93%

Quota
Liberals #1
1
Liberal  #2
.78
Mick Gallagher (4068)
.74
Greens (3,774)
.58
Berman #1 MSmart (3,736)
.57
Christian Dem
.16
Greenwood
.16

B ward

Reported turnout 83.45%
Informal vote 14.58%

Quota
Liberals #1
1
Berman
1
Liberal  #2
.73
Greens
.49
Berman #2
.45
Linda Wu
.33

C ward

Reported turnout 83.83%
Informal vote 12.01%

Quota
Liberals #1
1
Liberals #2
1
Berman #1
.96
Greens
.68
LDP
.21
Nichols
.10
Liberal #3
.05



Mayor

Turnout 84.45%
Informal Vote 4.72%


Russell
42.92%
Berman
40.07%
Gallagher
13.30%
Whelan
3.71%

Final Result, after prefs

Russell – 40,009
Berman – 38,678

In all wards, Liberals took 2 of the 3 first places. In wards B & C The Berman team, with their very high campaigning effort, took the third spot.

In ward C, Greens were the next significant group, with only the minor party LDP and unknown independent  to beat.

In B ward, where Nick Berman was the lead Berman candidate, we nevertheless managed to beat the number 2 on the Berman ticket.

In A ward, where the other main Mayoral Candidate, Steve Russell, was lead candidate for the Liberals, the fight for the next 2 spots was between
  • the Liberal # 2, riding on the coat tails of the strong Liberals campaign for Steve Russell
  • Mick Smart (the only sitting councillor on Berman's team)
  • Mick Gallagher, the well known local identity who has previously served as councillor and Mayor, backed by the local newspaper (Bush Tele)
  • The Greens
I consider it a small victory to have finished ahead of Mick Smart on first preferences(3,774 to 3,736). But final result after preference distributions was that Mick Smart beat me 4,389 to 4,308.
At that stage Anthony Anisse was at 5,862 and Mick Gallagher at 5,736.
After our preferences were distributed, Mick Gallagher finished narrowly ahead of Anthony Anisse by 6,101 to 6,004.

What would have happened if I had beaten Mick Smart at that stage ? From my analysis I would only have picked up about 30 preferences, so would not have caught either Mick Gallagher or Anthony Anisse.

Comparisons with 2008 LGA Election

A ward 2012 First Preferences Greens         3,574, 13.86%
A ward 2012 First Preferences Gallagher      4,584 15.46%
A ward 2008 First Preferences Greens      4,202, 16.9%
A ward 2008 First Preferences ALP          3,149, 13%
A ward 2008 First Preferences Gallagher 1,839,   7%
A ward 2008 First Preferences Smart        3,348, 13%
Worth noting that the ALP at a branch level decided to support Berman's team. Yet in A ward Mick Smart barely picked up any of them, and we didn't pick any up either. They all seem to have gone to Mick Gallagher

B ward 2012 First Preferences Greens               3,315, 11.75%
B ward 2012 First Preferences Berman team    10,419 36.94%
B ward 2008 First Preferences ALP                4,223, 18%
B ward 2008 First Preferences Berman team  9,188, 40%
Where did that 18% ALP vote go? Berman didn't pick up any, but we picked up 12%

C Ward 2012 First Preferences Greens  4,857 17.00%
C Ward 2008 First Preferences Greens  5,136  21%
C Ward 2008 First PreferenceALP     3,370, 14%









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